Friday, October 12, 2012
Trade of the Week: Winter sets gas investors all aglow
The price of US natural gas spiked sharply this week, after American energy agencies forecast household spending on heating will rise 15% this year to combat a colder winter. The predictions set off a swarm of speculators anxious for a profit and sent hedgers scrambling to cover their exposure.
A trader buying 1,000 contracts at
$3.35 and selling at $3.51, before the rally cooled slightly, could have
made a notional gain of $1.6m. A contract is equivalent of 10,000
million British thermal units.
How the EU could spend its Nobel Peace Prize winnings
The European Union would need to win the Nobel Peace Prize for 541,495 years in a row in order to finance its flagship bailout fund with the prize money.
The 27-nation bloc was the unlikely recipient on Friday of the annual gong and the Nkr8m, or €923,368, prize.
The Norwegian Nobel Committee, which
awards the prize, picked the EU and its forerunners for having “over
six decades contributed to the advancement of peace and reconciliation,
democracy and human rights in Europe.”
However, the prize money is a small
drop in the ocean when compared to the EU’s €500bn European Stability
Mechanism bailout fund.
M&A bankers rue $500m in missed fees
It is not a good time to be a mergers and acquisitions banker as they contend with eurozone volatility, reduced corporate confidence and depressed levels of activity. With the collapse of the BAE Systems-EADS tie-up this week, they now face another loss of mega-fees.
The 11 banks advising on the deal,
which include Goldman Sachs, Evercore, Gleacher Shacklock, Lazard and
Perella Weinberg, stand to forfeit $120m to $150m in fees, according to
Thomson Reuters and Freeman Consulting. They will now share an estimated
$15m pool.
Fixed income helps JP Morgan move on from Whalegate
A strong third-quarter performance in fixed income trading – which led to a 33% jump in underlying revenues compared to a year ago – has helped JP Morgan move on from what has been a tumultuous period for the US bank.
JP Morgan also said in its third quarter
results, which were published today, that its Chief Investment Office
had “effectively closed out” positions held from its infamous “London
Whale” trade, which came to light in May.
The bank said the CIO had
experienced $449m of losses in the third quarter from principal
transactions on the portfolio of index credit derivative positions it
was left with after transferring a synthetic credit portfolio to JP
Morgan's investment bank in July.
Thursday, October 11, 2012
Three-quarters of companies 'will need longer to pay off pension deficits'
Three-quarters of UK companies with
pension deficits say they will take longer to pay them off than they
were planning, thanks to the economic downturn and the Bank of England's
policy of quantitative easing, according to analysis by the
government's Pensions Regulator.
The regulator said earlier this year that it
would treat companies with more flexibility over their pensions bills,
given the prevailing economic environment. Chief executive Bill Galvin
said in April that it was "prepared to tolerate longer recovery plans".
While the authority is at frequent
pains to point out it has never insisted companies pay off their
deficits in any particular period, for many years it treated a recovery
period longer than 10 years as a "trigger" to take a closer look at a
firm.
Pimco's Gross buys Italian and Spanish bonds
Bill Gross put money where his mouth is, warming up to Spain and Italy while pulling back from the US.
Gross, manager of the world's biggest bond fund
at Pimco, cut holdings of Treasury bonds in September for a third month,
bolstered by his worries that the US fiscal woes and highly
accommodative monetary policy would erode investors' confidence in the
world's go-to safe haven asset.
At the same time, he boosted
non-dollar bonds sold by developed nations. The move confirmed his
comments in an interview Friday with Dow Jones Newswires that he has
bought Spanish and Italian government bonds in recent weeks after
staying out of the debt market from troubled euro zone economies since
the start of the year.
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